Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
20
Ṁ1kṀ3.6k2027
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the S&P 500 posts a daily gain or loss of more than 5% (close to close). I'll use https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data or a similar data source.
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