Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
6
Ṁ1kṀ8432027
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in 2026 or 2027?
28% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
51% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?
15% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in at least 3 of the 4 quarters of 2026?
63% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter in 2026 and 2027, 8 in a row?
8% chance
Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
60% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
28% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2026?
28% chance