Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?
3
1kṀ662027
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
41% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in 2026 or 2027?
45% chance
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?
47% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2026?
28% chance