Global catastrophe series: By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
15
398
2100
20%
chance

This question will resolve as Yes if before 2100, the human population (on Earth, and possibly elsewhere) decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less. Years are here defined as consecutive calendar years.

Resovles the same as https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1493/global-population-decline-10-by-2100/

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