Resolves YES if reliable media publications report that Iranian or Iranian-backed forces exchanged fire or any other "kinetic conflict" with US forces in Iraq and caused at least one casualty to the US forces, between March 24 and December 31 (inclusive), local time. Otherwise NO.
Background
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3339691/us-conducts-airstrikes-in-syria-in-response-to-deadly-uav-attack/ - Suspected Iranian UAV attack kills and wounds US personnel in Syria on March 23. If another such attack occurs after this date in 2023, this question would resolve YES.
Resolution details
The identity of the attackers must be described as Iranian or Iranian-backed forces, or described as asssessed or suspected as such in official US announcements.
If US forces are injured as a result of a cyberattack or other non-kinetic conflict, that would not resolve YES.
US forces will be defined to include US military and US military contractors.
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See comments on https://manifold.markets/jack/will-iran-or-iranbacked-forces-agai#CatQe23taFdAXlcBlV4U
I think this resolves YES, although I'm not 100% sure of how well confirmed it is that Iranians injured Americans in the follow-up wave of attacks. https://www.foxnews.com/world/new-iranian-rocket-attacks-injure-more-us-forces-in-syria says it is, but I didn't see it in other reporting at the time. If anyone has evidence to the contrary, let me know, otherwise will resolve YES shortly.