Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ86
2026
22%
chance

Peter Zeihan than’s there’s a 25-33% chance of this apparently.

Resolves true if a major US newspaper reports that Iran has attacked Saudi Arabia.

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Can you provide more information on how this would be resolved?

@JosephReichert Is there anything in particular you’re looking to clarify?

@IC what qualifies as an attack? What source will be used to determine whether an attack has happened?

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