Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
Plus
19
Ṁ22902026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count. An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
20% chance
Will the US attack Iran by Dec 15th 2024?
9% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
6% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
47% chance