
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
23
1kṀ41712026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count. An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will America bomb Iran in 2025?
36% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
10% chance
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
65% chance
The US and/or Iran will strike Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility in 2025
48% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
13% chance