For the election part of the question, resolves according to Manifold Politics, with “Trump” as a proxy for any future Republican candidate and “Harris” as a proxy for any future Democratic candidate. An independent candidate winning will resolve to N/A.

For the soldiers part of the question, resolves according to https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-there-be-american-soldiers-in

Resolves N/A if the soldiers question resolves before the US election.