Resolves to YES if Santos officially begins serving in the US House of Representatives on Jan 3 (the start of the next term of Congress). Otherwise NO (for example, if he declines to take his seat, if the House refuses to seat him, etc).

Context: Santos, who was elected to Congress in November 2022, was discovered to have fabricated his resume and admitted to it earlier this week.

Related:

Update: This market is now closed while we discuss the resolution.

See this market instead for a better version of the question:

See comments below for discussion on resolution. See https://manifold.markets/jack/will-george-santos-rny-begin-servin#6ce2ltJoF5O0dORMtRZE for my analysis.

Summary of key facts:

• The members of the House have not been sworn in yet - the swearing-in takes place after the Speaker is elected

• Any challenge to Santos's seating would take place after the Seating election, at the time of the swearing-in.

• Santos has been voting in the Speaker election (though the same would be true regardless of if the House ultimately refused to seat him)

• Many typically-accurate or official sources state that the new members (including Santos) assumed office on Jan 3, but they do not state that they were sworn in.