@levifinkelstein told me "I'm planning to not be shady anymore if that means anything. which it probably doesn't, but actions speak louder than words!" and has changed their name to "Levi (reformed)".

I lean towards believing them, and am optimistic for this change for the better!

The way this question will resolve is: I will conduct two polls, one now and one in a month. Each poll will ask the following:

On a scale of 0 to 10, how shady do you think Levi has been in the last month?

• Your response must be honest, and

• Must include some brief rationale that cites behavior in the relevant timeframe (this is to help avoid people misremembering when some past shady behavior happened.)

Each poll will run for 1 week. I will take the median response to each poll. This question resolves to 100% - <median result of poll in 1 month> / <median result of poll now>, as a percentage. If it is negative, resolves to 0%.

So, as examples: if the second poll says Levi is not shady at all (median result of 0), resolves to 100%. If the second poll says Levi is half as shady as before, resolves to 50%. If the second poll says Levi is just as shady or shadier than before, resolves to 0%.

I reserve the right to restrict the poll to reputable Manifold users to maintain the integrity of the poll if there are any possible issues.

Note: Levi approved of this market, and Levi and HMYS have both agreed not to take a NO position in this market (i.e. they won't bet on Levi being shady). If they do, this market will still resolve as specified, but it may close early to limit the amount of profit they can make from manipulating this question.