Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikuta
45
closes 2026
42%
chance

To be clear, I mean at least partial control, so full control is included.

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42irrationalist avatar
42irrationalist

How is 'partial control' defined?

3 replies
BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikuta

@42irrationalist Controlling some territory, but not all of it.

FlawlessTrain avatar
Flawless Train

@BenjaminIkuta "Control" needs significantly more definition before I would place a bet on this market.

BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikuta

@FlawlessTrain What did you have in mind?