On November 30, 2025, Honduras will hold general elections in a single-round system where the candidate with the most votes becomes president. The race is dominated by Rixi Moncada (LIBRE), Salvador Nasralla (Liberal), and Nasry Asfura (National Party). Among them, Asfura is considered the most favorable toward Próspera ZEDE, being business-oriented and less confrontational about the zone’s existence compared to his rivals.
This market resolves to Yes if the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) officially certifies Nasry "Tito" Asfura as the winner of the 2025 presidential election.

If the result is overturned by a recognized Honduran court within 30 days of certification, the court’s ruling will determine the outcome. If the election is annulled or unresolved without a certified winner, the market resolves No.
Update 2025-12-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait 30 days from certification before resolving the market, to allow time for any potential court challenges as specified in the resolution criteria.
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The conservative National Party candidate - backed by US President Donald Trump - won with 40.3% of the vote, according to the National Electoral Council (CNE), edging out Salvador Nasralla of the centre-right Liberal Party, who got 39.5%.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cyvgz1jn368o
@itsTomekK resolves yes
As CNE ceritfied
@NzJack0n There is a big possibility that the results get overturned court. According to the criteria:
"If the result is overturned by a recognized Honduran court within 30 days of certification, the court’s ruling will determine the outcome. If the election is annulled or unresolved without a certified winner, the market resolves No."
This market resolves to Yes if the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) officially certifies Nasry "Tito" Asfura as the winner of the 2025 presidential election
CNE certified him so we can resolve
@theScalper there is not a big possibility that happens. Create a market if you think so, but Polymarket has declared a winner and I can’t find reporting the election result is likely to be changed.
@NzJack0n literally read the part after the one u quoted. The market shouldnt be closed until 30 days have passed as per this market's criteria.
@theScalper you said there is a ‘big possibility’ it happens. So you can place a big bet on it at 6%. I put a limit order up. Enjoy
@theScalper did you even try place a bet? I have a limit order up, so liquidity doesn’t matter, as your trade won’t make the price go too high
@theScalper 😂 so you think something is a big possibility and given 6% odds you won’t take it, sounds like you are just trying to delay an inevitable resolution
@theScalper you should bet no on this market if you thinks it’s going to be overturned. ‘Big possibility’ you said
@NzJack0n Man you should really major in Psychology or something. The way you debunked me is seriously chef's kiss!😫
Unfortunately for you though, according to this market's criteria, this market won't be resolved to yes before 30 days have passed.
I hope it resolves to no because I bought NO shares worth 5 mana points and I really dont wanna loose them😭
@theScalper It says ‘if overturned’. The first line says it’s resolved when CNE certify the winner. The winner has been certified. We can resolve the market now, in the 0.0001% world where the result changes, the market can be re-resolved. We don’t need to lock up people’s mana for a month for no reason
@theScalper you can bet 50 no on this market to collect 3645. Why don’t you do that if you think it’s a good chance? Or you are just a typical sore loser who tries to delay resolution with excuses and empty words?
@theScalper Why should I lose mana because of sore losers. It says resolves yes when certified. Resolve now. If in 0.0001% world the resolution can still be changed.
@theScalper This market resolves to Yes if the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) officially certifies Nasry "Tito" Asfura as the winner of the 2025 presidential election.
@NzJack0n man I really am a sore loser. Tbh losing my shares worth 5 mana would seriously get me crashing😤
@NzJack0n please chill a bit. Trying to get your way by intentionally ignoring part of the market isn't cool.
It says 30 days without being overturned. Either explain why that won't happen (example: court has heard the case and appeals have been exhausted, or whatever the legal setup is), or we wait. "It seems unlikely" isn't justification, just be patient.
@EvanDaniel Poly market and Kalshi have paid out.
It says This market resolves to Yes if the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) officially certifies Nasry "Tito" Asfura as the winner of the 2025 presidential election.
The other part only says if. Re resolve it in that case. Why does manifold need a reputation of ridiculously slow resolutions
@EvanDaniel if it's a chance of happening, why aren't people betting no on this market? Seems like no one actually believes it, just trying to delay the inevitable. Could you please bet no on this market? Thanks
@NzJack0n I do grant that there is some ambiguity in the description's clash between certain criteria, but in this case it looks like Tomek is responding to the criteria with a reasonable clarification. Here's how I think most moderators would read the situation:
As long as the market creator is around and managing the market, they're still in charge of it and can issue clarifications
Unless their clarification is unreasonable, they usually have the final say
In this case, Tomek opted against a "resolves now and re-resolve later" approach and clarified they intend to wait to resolve until the 30 days have passed
That seems like a reasonable choice to me, especially given it was mentioned in the market description from the start
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Now, with that said, some approaches you could take in this situation that would be more effective than just trying really hard to change Tomek's mind:
Easiest is to just keep taking the daily loan, you'll have a significant amount of your capital back within 30 days if there is no overturned ruling.
If you're willing to sacrifice a little bit of your gains, try selling some of your position at 99%, 98%, or whatever you think people will buy it at. There are plenty of users out there who have huge balances not invested in anything who may take a "guaranteed" 2% for 30 days.
It looks like you're already on top of it, but "make another market" is a totally reasonable thing to do here also. 👍
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If I can be permitted even more meta-commentary: It's nice when markets are specifically designed for fast resolutions. The site seems to generally encourage this and has several tools to make that an option people pick. But in those cases where a market creator has specifically chosen not to resolve early, bettors who want a fast resolving version should consider creating their own version of the market with a faster resolution trigger.
When I make markets, I often try to get creative to push the limits of "what I am actually interested in" to fit into "version that resolves weeks or even months earlier than the version someone else might make". But in some circumstances, the long version is the one I am most interested in. I guess that's just how it goes.
Let's try to remember to respect the market creators who have whatever idea in mind when they make their market. If they're looking for something specific, they can wait until they see it to resolve.
@Eliza Thank you.
I follow these elections closely - started this market way before Nasfura was expected to be a top contender, and for most of last month there was a serious risk of overturning the results. Now this risk seems over, but indeed i could have framed rules differently.