On November 30, 2025, Honduras will hold general elections in a single-round system where the candidate with the most votes becomes president. The race is dominated by Rixi Moncada (LIBRE), Salvador Nasralla (Liberal), and Nasry Asfura (National Party). Among them, Asfura is considered the most favorable toward Próspera ZEDE, being business-oriented and less confrontational about the zone’s existence compared to his rivals.

This market resolves to Yes if the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) officially certifies Nasry "Tito" Asfura as the winner of the 2025 presidential election.

If the result is overturned by a recognized Honduran court within 30 days of certification, the court’s ruling will determine the outcome. If the election is annulled or unresolved without a certified winner, the market resolves No.