Will the USA use a strike against a US vessel as an excuse to resume mainland airstrikes?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ104May 31
22%
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Resolves YES if a US vessel gets attacked and the USA resumes its air campaign in retaliation.
Resolves NO if, by end of May:
No airstrikes happen.
An airstrike campaign resumes BEFORE a US vessel gets damaged.
Only defensive strikes occur*.
*I'm defining defensive strikes as "shooting at someone that is actively shooting at me". So firing at a Shahab platform that just fired on a US navy ship would be considered defensive, responding to an attack with 10 different targets some of which are not missile launchers would not.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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