Will Bangladesh hold new general elections in the next 6 months?
Plus
11
Ṁ3111Feb 5
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if general elections are held in Bangladesh between 5 Aug 2024 and 5 Feb 2025 inclusive. Resolves NO otherwise.
An announcement is not sufficient, voting must actually happen within this window for a positive resolution.
I will not participate in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
August 19:
"We will hold a free, fair participatory election as soon as we can complete our mandate to carry out vital reforms in our election commission, judiciary, civil administration, security forces and media," [Yunus] told diplomats
I think there should be >3% chance that this ends without elections OR civil war.
https://manifold.markets/programjames/will-the-ongoing-civil-unrest-in-ba?r=cHJvZ3JhbWphbWVz
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the de facto leader of Bangladesh at the end of May 2025?
When will the next UK General Election take place?
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?
57% chance
When will the next Haitian general election occur?
When will the next UK general election be held?
Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown before 2026?
50% chance
Will Guinea's planned elections occur?
38% chance
Will a uk general election be called in the latter six months of 2024?
2% chance
Will the ongoing civil unrest in Bangladesh be considered a civil war by the end of year?
9% chance
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?
24% chance