Will Madagascar have an election in the next 2 years?
2
100Ṁ352027
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Colonel Michael Randrianirina announced that Madagascar's military would rule for "a period of up to two years" before organizing new elections. This represents the outer bound of the military's stated timeline following their October 14, 2025 takeover.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves YES if Madagascar holds any form of national elections (presidential, parliamentary, or both) before October 15, 2027. Elections must be organized by the current military government or its designated transitional authority. The elections do not need to be deemed free/fair or internationally recognized.
Sources: CBC News, Foreign Policy
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?
32% chance
When will the next Haitian general election occur?
If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028
41% chance
Will Argentina hold presidential elections on schedule in 2027?
93% chance
If the US leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028?
57% chance