Will @MartinRandall pass the Turing test by the end of October, 2023?
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resolved Nov 1
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Please feel free to nominate yourself to participate. The roles would be assigned later.

Each Turing Test Session will consist of at least three Turing Test Trials.

For each such trial, a set of Interviews will take place, followed by voting by the Turing Test Judges as described below:

  1. Using its best judgment, the Turing Test Committee will appoint three Humans to be the Turing Test Judges.

  2. Using its best judgment, the Turing Test Committee will appoint either 1 or 2 or 3 human foils.

  1. Who and how many the Turing Test Human Foils there are should not be known to the Turing Test Judges (the judges will not be told how many of the candidates are AI. It is their job to figure that out).

  1. During the Turing Test Interviews (for each trial), each of the three Judges will conduct (online) interviews (maximum duration of up to 10 minutes) of each of the four Turing Test Candidates i.e. @MartinRandall and 3 candidates.

  1. The Turing Test Interviews will consist of online text messages sent back and forth as in a online "instant messaging" chat, as that concept is understood in the year 2023.

This question will resolve as Yes if the Turing Test committee (to be appointed) declares @MartinRandall to have passed the Turing test as per the majority (50+%) of the votes by the judges.


(p.s. from opening of the market and till 5 days have passed, feel free to suggest modifications to the description and the resolution criteria, i didnt really put much thought into it so far)

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:'(

Seems like if people publicly volunteer then the judges will have an easier time telling humans and Martins apart.

@MartinRandall If only it were as easy as adding a few steering vectors here and there to make Martin fail the turing test...

I'm happy to participate if I'm free whenever the test is happening.

@IsaacKing Would you like to participate as a judge?

@firstuserhere Sure, any role.

I'm not going to bet because it would discourage other bettors, but I think 50% is crazy high for this. Passing the Turing Test, as it is typically defined for AIs in 2023, is not something typical human-level intelligences can do.

@MartinRandall 50% is the state of maximum uncertainty. In the context of this question, such uncertainty levels over ability to pass the Turing test... I am starting to suspect that you're an AI after all

So there are 1-3 non-Martin humans, 0-2 non-Martin AIs, plus 1 Martin. Who is providing the non-Martin AIs? I think their quality will be an important factor.

Also, it sounds like I will need to pretend to not be a Martin or else it will be too easy for the judges to determine that I am a Martin, and then I would fail the test?

@MartinRandall the judges will choose the non-martin AIs, and i have ideas for which ones.

predicted NO

I am happy to participate in any capacity

What are the judges trying to determine? Which one is @MartinRandall? or whether he is an AI?

@DavidBolin whether in a blind test they're able to distinguish him as the human from other candidates which are either human or AI

@firstuserhere So, which one is @MartinRandall then. Because presumably he is just as human as any other humans.

@DavidBolin presumably

Has @MartinRandall agreed to take such a test? If not and the test doesn't happen, it would resolve NA?

@Mira yes

predicted NO

@firstuserhere Huh? I bet NO in large part because I interpreted there to be no N/A condition.

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