Will @firstuserhere be in the top 5 of the Top creators leaderboard at any point in 2023? ($1k subsidy)
39
1.1k
1.7k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

If the leaderboard is abolished, then an unofficial ranking will be done.

Shenanigans not allowed. Please do not break any community guidelines in order to resolve this in your favor.

people catapulting people by betting on all their markets.

counts as a shenanigan

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,629
2Ṁ1,492
3Ṁ1,241
4Ṁ777
5Ṁ350
Sort by:

Daily Update, @firstuserhere is coming pretty close.

bought Ṁ35 YES

Daily Update 🙃

predicted NO

Guys don't tell @itsTomekK about this, that may be a shenanigan (ᵖˢˢᵗ, ᵀᵒᵐᵉᵏ, ˢᵗᵉᵖ ᵘᵖ ʸᵒᵘʳ ᵍᵃᵐᵉ)

@ItsMe I was intentionally not mentioning him haha

predicted YES

@ItsMe For real though, that's not shenanigans - if the two compete insanely hard to get organically-traded interesting markets, that's mission accomplished.

predicted YES

@Soli Same!! 🤣

@ItsMe oh thanks for letting me know :D

@itsTomekK you can pretend you did not see it

@Soli now i can bet NO and boost my markets

@itsTomekK orrr you can bet yes and make easy Mana 🙄

Daily update: Is Tomekk back? :O Does he stand a chance against the all-mighty @firstuserhere ?? I don't think so!


#1: @BTE with 53076 (+271 DoD & +1208 WoW)

#2: @IsaacKing with 51880 (+138 DoD & +803 WoW)

#3: @memestiny with 37958 (+170 DoD & +444 WoW)

#4: @jack with 30888 (+113 DoD & +507 WoW)

#5: @itsTomekK with 27280 (+130 DoD & +712 WoW)

#6: @johnleoks with 26104 (+61 DoD & +353 WoW)

#7: @firstuserhere with 25539 (+301 DoD & +1623 WoW)

#8: @Gigacasting with 22368 (+29 DoD & +271 WoW)

#9: @Ernie with 17523 (+75 DoD & +438 WoW)

#10: @KevinBurke with 15790 (+77 DoD & +681 WoW)

bought Ṁ66 of YES

There were some exciting developments. @firstuserhere's number of traders per day increased to 410, up from ~250 yesterday. At the same time, itsTomekK daily traders decreased.

#1: @BTE with 52927 (+288 DoD & +1130 WoW)

#2: @IsaacKing with 51788 (+187 DoD & +746 WoW)

#3: @memestiny with 37920 (+117 DoD & +439 WoW)

#4: Jack with 30829 (+97 DoD & +464 WoW)

#5: itsTomekK with 27206 (+102 DoD & +695 WoW)

#6: johnleoks with 26073 (+71 DoD & +381 WoW)

#7: @firstuserhere with 25349 (+410 DoD & +1557 WoW)

#8: Gigacasting with 22351 (+31 DoD & +282 WoW)

#9: Ernie with 17480 (+83 DoD & +412 WoW)

#10: KevinBurke with 15704 (+112 DoD & +647 WoW)

bought Ṁ20 YES from 65% to 66%
bought Ṁ50 of YES

@Soli ah well this certainly would help

if he gets the 100k steps then with the 300k+ mana profit and 1mil balance he can create over 5000 markets and if we all bet on each of those we should be good

predicted YES
sold Ṁ591 of YES

I sold my position because my data frame started at position 0 and not position 1, as I thought. There is still a chance you can do it, but it won't be easy.

@firstuserhere 25079 (+1373 WoW) - #7
@johnleoks 26044 (+369 WoW) - #6
@itsTomekK 27169 (+735 WoW) - #5

sold Ṁ6 of NO

@Soli forecasting this out 2 weeks:

  • FUH: 27,825

  • John: 26,782

  • Tomek: 28,639

It looks like FUH is creating markets like mad. Will it be enough?

bought Ṁ100 of YES

It’s over. I have played this game before.

@BTE Shenanigans aren't allowed in this case

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington markets like this are in fact one of the primary reasons I am at the top of the list. Shenanigans are absolutely unnecessary. It’s a one way bet that everyone can contribute to without spending one mana. You know this because you did it legitimately on my account.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington The only thing that can stop it is if Tomek gets motivated to create new markets.

@BTE What we did to get you to the top counts as shenanigans for the purposes of this market, at least I assume so given that FUH didn't disagree with Marcus' comment below, and took some of his limit order just now.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington Actually it’s a bit different than how I set it up because we can all go bet in Tomekz markets which keeps moving the finish line further away.

predicted YES

I pulled the data and think you will do it ;)

The difference between you and position #5 is ~1000 traders. It seems like a-lot but when you consider that you are getting 250 traders per day vs ~50 from position #5 it becomes clear that there is a very high chance of you achieving this since there are 13 days left in 2023

Edit: My dataframe started at position 0 🤦🏻‍♂️

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@Soli It is ~2000 traders to surpass Tomek or do i misunderstand something?

sold Ṁ96 of YES

@marktwse Here're the numbers - FUH ends the year ~800 behind Tomek on the current one-week trend:

FUH:

{

"allTime": 25084,

"monthly": 5911,

"weekly": 1362,

"daily": 237

}

Tomek:

{

"allTime": 27169,

"monthly": 2475,

"weekly": 735

"daily": 138,

}

@marktwse I had a mistake in my analysis where I started counting top creators with 0 instead of 1 so I actually thought firstuserhere was in position 6 and not 7

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington Can you print my breakdown please?

@BTE

Daily: 206

Weekly: 1020

Monthly: 4647

All-Time: 52852

predicted YES

@Soli Thank you!!

predicted YES

@Soli Can you do it for the entire leaderboard by day week month?

@BTE just download this image

@BTE I am building a small app to list creators with some fun features btw

@Soli app is a big word haha just a stupid litte web app

predicted YES

@Soli very cool!! not stupid at all!! interested in building a leaderboard from scratch for a new prediction market? DM me on Discord?

@BTE will do ☺️

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