Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?
10
23
แน€210
2026
21%
chance

Resolves according to the generic market creation leaderboard at market close. If a user does not have a Twitter account, that counts as a "no" for resolution purposes.

Get แน€200 play money