polls are fake now actually

Lack of polls...

@MaybeNotDepends newest polls (few hours ago) say they are neck and neck

and link for the lazy ones

https://hotnews.ro/exclusiv-primul-mare-sondaj-pentru-turul-doi-al-alegerilor-prezidentiale-din-18-mai-2025-lupta-extrem-de-stransa-intre-george-simion-si-nicusor-dan-ce-se-intampla-cu-electoratul-lui-crin-antonescu-1972338

@jerkyenox polls seem to have seriously underestimated simion in the first round

Um, this was only the first round, right? The winner hasn't been decided yet until the second round on may 18th?

@Sqeedee Yes. Only the second round will matter now.

I see this as a high variance market, so bet to even the odds

Like your optimism this can be settled by 2100 ☆<|;8○|})

Guys, I'm just saying: polymarket has Simion at like 30%

@ezra290 i fixed it

this was a dumb move

@arandomguy care to share info motivating huge odds swing?

@TheAllMemeingEye George Simion has been supporting Calin Georgescu who was about to win last time.

Interesting article on Georgescu's appeal, and the political environment in "left behind" places:

The mayor, Ms. Vrabie, said it was “100 percent certain” that Ceausescu would win an election in Pestera and other left-behind places if he were still alive.

I'm guessing they will try to link Georgescu to the manipulation (or get him on some technicality) and will arrest him before a new election.

@AlQuinn Moving in the direction I predicted. Georescu was detained and questioned over an insane array of potential charges on Wednesday. The coup continues.