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Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up house seats in 2026? [Sabato's Crystal Ball]
7
Ṁ1kṀ907
Nov 3
41%
chance
5

Resolves yes if Republicans win a majority of the seats listed in the "Toss up" columns on election day. If tie settles 50:50.

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-house/

  • Update 2026-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there are zero "Toss up" seats on election day, the market will resolve using the last available data with toss-up seats.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

@Jack1 so 50:50 is fair value?

bought Ṁ100 YES

That seems kind of boring. If there are truly zero "toss ups" on election day, I will use the last available data from where there are toss ups.

bought Ṁ150 NO