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MANIFOLD
Will One Nation’s primary vote share in the next federal election exceed 15%?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ80
2028
56%
chance

Pauline Hanson and One Nation have been consistently vocal in their support for Israel (wearing Israeli flag scarves in the Senate, condemning Hamas, criticising Labor’s position, etc.). Labor currently holds government and has taken a more critical stance toward Israel at times.

This market resolves YES if One Nation’s national primary vote at the next federal election is above 15%. It resolves NO if it is 15% or below.

Resolution source: official Australian Electoral Commission results.

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