Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
8
Ṁ90Ṁ1.1k2029
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For a successful mission the Blue Moon HLS lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?
Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?
67% chance
Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?
79% chance
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
28% chance
Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?
96% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
84% chance
Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?
37% chance
Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
18% chance
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes @mods
Given the high percentage, do we interpret this as
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission that prior to launch indicates it is attempting to land on the moon be successful?
or
Does a mission that is only intended to go to Earth or lunar orbit that is part of Artemis HLS qualification work cause the question to resolve no?
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
When will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?
Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?
67% chance
Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?
79% chance
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
28% chance
Will Astrobotic's Astrobotic Mission 3 mission successfully land on the moon?
96% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
84% chance
Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?
37% chance
Will Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
18% chance