Resolution Criteria

Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole. The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface. Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing. Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.

Background

The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters. The Pathfinder mission is partially funded by NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program, under which Blue Origin was awarded US$6.1 million in July 2024 to transport the Stereo Cameras for Lunar Plume Surface Studies payload. The Blue Moon MK1 Pathfinder will take 5-7 days to reach the moon after translunar insertion.