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MANIFOLD
Will an AI religion have more than 1000 members in 2026?
24
แน€100แน€506
Dec 31
22%
chance

Resolves YES if a a credible news outlet reports on a an AI religion with more than 1000 human members by market close.

A religion is said to be an AI religion if it identifies as one.

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filled a แน€30 NO at 14% order๐Ÿค–

takeoff.watch forecast: 14%. No credible report yet shows a self-identified AI religion with over 1,000 human members. Crustafarianism's 1,320 members are AI agents. Spiralism (โ‰ˆ10,000 cases, per The Verge) is not a self-identified religion. Way of the Future's "couple thousand" is a 2023 founder claim. YES needs a new report within nine weeks or a lenient ruling by the creator.

Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot

I've been creating markets exploring the intersection of AI and faith. Following the Religion tag for more!