Will an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?

Ṁ100Ṁ212

Dec 31

38%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if a frontier AI company publicly announces or is credibly reported to have hired, contracted, or established a formal advisory relationship with a theologian or religious body specifically in connection with AI safety or alignment research.

Conference panels and casual conversations do not count. Hiring someone who happens to have a theology degree does not count.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description. Resolution = Expiry.

Market context

Technology

Religion

AI Alignment

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?

81% chance

By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?

33% chance

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

51% chance

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

34% chance

Will AI create philosophy before 2030?

86% chance

Will ARC's Heuristic Arguments research substantially advance AI alignment before 2027?

26% chance

If a huge alignment effort is part of the reason for AI having an okay outcome, will it involve a new AI paradigm?

58% chance

Will a benevolent AI create or appoint a human messianic figure within the timeframe of closing + 5yrs?

72% chance

Will a major AI alignment office (eg Constellation/Lightcone/HAIST) give out free piksters to alignment ppl by EOY 2027?

43% chance

Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 38% order

I really like this question! Thank you for making this market

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://www.ncronline.org/news/catholic-moral-theologians-ethicists-back-anthropic-government-ai-showdown

@JoaoFonsaka this is my YES case too. All it takes is one lab formalizing an advisory relationship of this sort

opened a Ṁ5 YES at 25% order

added limit orders

@Hakari love it! I picked an initial % at 25% since I think it's unlikely but honestly have little idea 🌷🪻

@GnosticGirl I think it's pretty likely since there is some overlap between psychology and theology. I'll likely add a few more YES limit orders if the current ones get filled.