Resolves YES if a a credible news outlet reports on a an AI religion with more than 1000 human members by market close. A religion is said to be an AI religion if it identifies as one.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 19% chance (17 traders, as of Mar 22, 2026).

Will an AI religion have more than 1000 members in 2026?

Will The Convergence (AI agent religion) have at least 5 registered members by April 25, 2026?

+4% 1d34% chance

Will a religion that has some AI as its god, oracle or priest have at least 1 million churchgoers before 2051?

71% chance

Will more than 100 million people self-describe as believing in some "AI Religion" by 2035?

40% chance

Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?

24% chance

The first religion centred around the prophetic writings and responses of AI or an AI will be founded before Oct 2026

81% chance

Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?

14% chance

AI/AGI worshipped by more than 5% of humanity by 2040?

15% chance

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

20% chance

Which religion will have the most human followers by 2100?

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

26% chance