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MANIFOLD
Will an AI exec equate AGI to religious end-times in 2026?
7
แน€100แน€87
Dec 31
35%
chance

Resolves YES if a founder or C-suite executive from a frontier AI lab affirmatively compares AGI or the Singularity to an established religious end-times concept before 2027.

The executive must use explicit theological eschatology. For example, the Rapture, Second Coming, Messianic Age, Kali Yuga, Maitreya, etc.

The statement must be a direct, affirmative comparison. For example, "AGI will functionally bring about the Messianic Age" or "the Singularity is essentially the Second Coming", even if used allegorically. Dismissals or quoting others (e.g., "Some call AGI the Rapture") resolve NO.

Frontier AI Labs: Anthropic, OpenAI, DeepMind, xAI, Meta FAIR, Mistral

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@Quroe did you mean to share this here? How is this related? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿชป

@GnosticGirl It's end-times adjacent. I tucked the context into the bottom of the description.

@Quroe I have a feeling if the Second Coming happens a whole lotta markets will resolve differently ๐Ÿ˜‚

@GnosticGirl Oh heck, I need to make a follow up market about a different interpretation of this passage. "Will the US-Iran war last exactly 42 months?"

Maybe on Monday when my make-a-market quest renews.

@GnosticGirl I like the testable prophecies, though. We can measure the ones that have numbers!

@Quroe my rabbi gave me a very specific year in which the Messianic Age is to arrive that the kabbalists share. While I'm sworn to secrecy, it's surprisingly aligned with AI timelines. ๐Ÿ‘€๐ŸŒป

If he's wrong, I'll greatly diminish his mystical teachings in my mind. The frustrating part about prophecy failure is people spiritualize it away. I like what you're doing since it commits people to the error, unable to revise after the fact. ๐Ÿชป

I spent some time on the largest Rapture discord server when the Sept 22 prophecy was supposed to happen. The guy who prophecized it took people's money to build a bunch of boats like Noah's Ark, yet the flood never came. He subsequently spent the funds on a sports car. ๐Ÿ˜‚

But what's curious is how those I talked to them believed it'd happen in September. When that past they insisted October, and that they never really thought it'd be in September. Then November, December, .... Can you guess which month they're saying it's going to happen now? ๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿฅ€

With numbers and prediction markets though, we can hold people's feet to the fire. Love what you're doing! ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐ŸŒท

@GnosticGirl I'm reading more into that article. I do not enjoy how closely that is matching reality right now.

I need to do some independent exploration into those quoted Bible passages.

I've been creating markets exploring the intersection of AI and faith. Following the Religion tag for more!