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MANIFOLD
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
38
Ṁ1.2kṀ4k
2050
70%
Javokhir Sindarov
34%
Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş
32%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
31%
R Praggnanandhaa
30%
Vincent Keymer
26%
Arjun Erigaisi
21%
Abhimanyu Mishra
20%
Alireza Firouzja
18%
Fabiano Caruana
17%
Leon Mendonca
14%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
14%
Anish Giri
13%
Wei Yi
11%
Hikaru Nakamura
10%
Murzin, Volodar
10%
Hans Niemann
10%
Parham Maghsoodloo
8%
Raunak Sadhwani
7%
Wesley So
5%
Sergey Karjakin

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bought Ṁ5 YES

Dommaraju Gukesh resolves YES

sold Ṁ11 NO

when two equally rated players face off the younger one is probably at an advantage because the older one is more reliant on crystallized knowledge and thus more vulnerable to adversarial preparation. Also the younger player may be still improving and underrated.

Karjakin tied magnus in the previous championship, is the same age as magnus, and is still ranked in the top 10, and only suspended from FIDE for 6 months. He's probably underrrated at 7%

Oh i forgot Karjakin got kicked out of FIDE for being a Russian with typical Russian political views -- apparently that wasn't a problem under Stalin or Khrushchev or during the Russian invasion of Afghanistan but all of a sudden we require political uniformity to play chess with each other -- cancel culture came for FIDE. #ReinstateKarjakin

@JonathanRay Karjakin went crazy and was constantly just parroting Russian war propaganda. Almost all other Russian players did not do that and they are still playing.

@JonathanRay Karjakin is literally not kicked out of FIDE. If he wanted to play, he'd be playing. There is nothing to "reinstate" him to.

we love to make noise about cancel culture don't we folks

anyone in the top 5 or born after 2000 and in the top 25 is a strong contender