Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
4
57
900
2027
31%
Gukesh D
22%
Ding Liren
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Hikaru Nakamura
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
2%
Magnus Carlsen
1.8%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
1.7%
Anish Giri
1.7%
Alireza Firouzja
1.5%
Wei Yi
1.5%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.5%
Arjun Erigaisi

This market refers to this event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026.

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament. I will select the N/A option if the tournament is canceled or is paused without a plan to resume it.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

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