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Who will be the top 10 Chess players at the end of 2026?
17
Ṁ2kṀ2.5k
Dec 31
92%
Fabiano Caruana
92%
Magnus Carlsen
90%
Hikaru Nakamura
77%
Vincent Keymer
74%
Arjun Erigaisi
71%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
62%
Anish Giri
60%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
54%
Wei Yi
53%
Gukesh Dommaraju
51%
Wesley So
49%
Alireza Firouzja
34%
Hans Moke Nieman
30%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
27%
Richard Rapport
25%
Leinier Dominguez Perez
25%
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov
22%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
21%
Viswanathan Anand
20%
Ding Liren

Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on FIDE's monthly published "Top 100 Players" list for classical chess. The resolution will use the first official FIDE rating list published in 2027.

Each answer resolves YES if that player appears in the top 10 of the FIDE classical ratings at that time, and NO otherwise. Only active players (as per FIDE's definition) will be considered. Check the official FIDE ratings at https://ratings.fide.com

Background

FIDE governs international chess competition and publishes monthly rankings of the top 100 players based on classical time control ratings. The Elo rating system is used.

Considerations

Rankings fluctuate monthly based on classical tournament results. Players may take extended breaks from competition, affecting their rating trajectory.

Answers were seeded with top 20 at market creation. I will bet on this market.

Market context
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