Which incumbent U.S. representatives will lose their primaries? | Manifold

Which incumbent U.S. representatives will lose their primaries?

30

Ṁ725Ṁ17k

Sep 1

34%

Stephen Lynch (MA-08)

Resolved

YES

Julie Johnson (D-TX-33)

Resolved

YES

Al Green (D-TX-18)

Resolved

YES

Thomas Massie (R-KY-4)

Resolved

YES

Dan Goldman (D-NY-10)

Resolved

YES

Adriano Espaillat (D-NY-13)

Resolved

YES

Diana DeGette (CO-01)

Resolved

YES

John Larson (CT-01)

Resolved

YES

Andy Ogles (TN-05)

Resolved

YES

Shri Thanedar (MI-13)

Resolved

N/A

Steve Cohen (D-TN-9)

Resolved

N/A

David Scott (D-GA-13)

In states such as California, Washington, and Alaska, with top 2 or 4 primaries, candidates are considered to win their primary if they advance to the general election.

Market context

2026 US Congressional Elections

Democratic Party

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bought Ṁ228 YES

@TW5z0p Shri and Ogles both lost

@TW5z0p shri lost

@TW5z0p can resolve

bought Ṁ157 NO

@TW5z0p resolves no thanks

@TW5z0p Thomas Massie lost his primary to Ed Gallrein

Bet on the IN-04 primary here:

People are also trading

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?

How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

How many incumbent governors will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

Which US Senators and Candidates will win?

Which of these Democratic senators that prevented the March 2025 Gov. shutdown lose their next primary?

Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?

Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

How many of these democrats will be elected senators in November?

Who will win the CA-3 Election?

Related questions

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?

How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

How many incumbent governors will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

Which US Senators and Candidates will win?

Which of these Democratic senators that prevented the March 2025 Gov. shutdown lose their next primary?

Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?

Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

How many of these democrats will be elected senators in November?

Who will win the CA-3 Election?