Which incumbent U.S. representatives will lose their primaries? | Manifold

Which incumbent U.S. representatives will lose their primaries?

18

Ṁ675Ṁ14k

Sep 1

86%

John Larson (CT-01)

63%

Wesley Bell (MO-01)

59%

Stephen Lynch (MA-08)

58%

Diana DeGette (CO-01)

49%

Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (FL-20)

34%

Ed Case (HI-01)

28%

Jared Moskowitz (FL-25)

9%

Randy Fine (FL-06)

Resolved

YES

Julie Johnson (D-TX-33)

Resolved

YES

Al Green (D-TX-18)

Resolved

YES

Thomas Massie (R-KY-4)

Resolved

YES

Dan Goldman (D-NY-10)

Resolved

YES

Adriano Espaillat (D-NY-13)

Resolved

N/A

Steve Cohen (D-TN-9)

Resolved

N/A

David Scott (D-GA-13)

In states such as California, Washington, and Alaska, with top 2 or 4 primaries, candidates are considered to win their primary if they advance to the general election.

Market context

2026 US Congressional Elections

Democratic Party

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@TW5z0p Thomas Massie lost his primary to Ed Gallrein

Bet on the IN-04 primary here:

People are also trading

How many of these democrats will be elected senators in November?

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+26% 1d59% chance

Which US Senators and Candidates will win?

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?

Which of these Democratic senators that prevented the March 2025 Gov. shutdown lose their next primary?

Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?

Related questions

How many of these democrats will be elected senators in November?

Which Justice Democrat backed non-incumbents will win their primaries?

Which Bernie Sanders endorsees will win their 2026 primaries?

Will any member of the squad who lost their 2024 election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?

Which US Senators and Candidates will win?

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?

How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?

Which of these Democratic senators that prevented the March 2025 Gov. shutdown lose their next primary?

Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?