What % of the vote will the Republican get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)

Question

Resolves to YES if the Republican nominee gets more than the higher number, resolves NO if less than the lower number, and resolves to % in the range otherwise.

For example: Minnesota(40% to 50%)

If the Republican nominee receives 42.00%, resolves to 20%.  If the Republican nominee receives 49.79%, resolves to 98% (97.9% rounded). If the Republican nominee receives 54%, resolves yes.

I will be adding more states soon.

Resolves according to major media reporting or official results if needed.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Jack1/what-of-the-vote-will-the-democrat)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Minnesota (40% to 50%) is most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Jan 25, 2026).

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