What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)

Question

Resolves to YES if the Democratic nominee gets more than the higher number, resolves NO if less than the lower number, and resolves to % in the range otherwise.

For example: Minnesota(50% to 60%)

If the Democratic nominee receives 52.00%, resolves to 20%.  If the Democratic nominee receives 59.79%, resolves to 98% (97.9% rounded). If the Democratic nominee receives 64%, resolves yes.

I will be adding more states soon.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Jack1/what-of-the-vote-will-the-republica)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Minnesota (50% to 60%), followed by Maine (50% to 60%) and Georgia(50% to 60%) are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Jan 25, 2026).

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