Democratic odds of senate control on Tuesday November 4 2026?
4
Ṁ1.3kṀ2.3kNov 4
97%
20.00% or higher
96%
25.00% or higher
95%
30.00% or higher
91%
33.00% or higher
88%
36.00% or higher
82%
38.00% or higher
75%
40.00% or higher
59%
45.00% or higher
44%
50.00% or higher
35%
55.00% or higher
26%
60.00% or higher
14%
70.00% or higher
9%
80.00% or higher
https://electionbettingodds.com/Senate-Control-2026.html
Electionbettingodds uses odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket and Kalshi to give an accurate overview of the odds.
On Tuesday November 4 at 3am ET I’ll check election betting odds, and resolve this market based on odds of Democratic Party senate control.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
51% chance
Democrats win Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Maine for Senate in 2026?
36% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
44% chance
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
35% chance
Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
62% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
87% chance
Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?