US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026? | Manifold

US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?

13

Ṁ100Ṁ363

2027

39%

chance

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1D

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1M

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https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending

2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.

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Will Pentagon get $200 billion in funds for the Iran War before the 2026 midterms?

Did military spending as % of GDP reach at least 2.0 % for the European Union in 2025?

Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?

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