Pentagon has reportedly requested $200 billion in funding for the Iran War. This market resolves yes if the Department of Defense gets a legally binding approval for at least $200 billion in funding for the Iran War before the 2026 midterm elections. The approval can come from Congress, or via other means, as long as the funding is legally binding. If Pentagon does not get an approval for the request, or if they get an approval for funding of less than $200 billion, this market resolves no. Resolution will be based on official legislative text available via Congress.gov, official Department of Defense press releases, or consensus reporting by major news outlets

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/18/iran-cost-budget-pentagon/