Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
10
Ṁ775Ṁ5.4k2027
93%
Fort Bend
91%
Tarrant
71%
Collin
56%
Denton
40%
Bastrop
39%
Bell
34%
Brazoria
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralcounty/general-election-county-winners/kxgeneralcounty-senatetx-26
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate general election in Denton County, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Some Background information. Last 2 presidential election results in these counties

People are also trading
Related questions
Who Will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?
Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Will James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
73% chance
Will Abdul El-Sayed win by a larger margin than James Talarico does?
66% chance
Which of Talarico, El-Sayed and Brown have the biggest winning margin?
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
70% chance
If James Talarico wins, Will Gina Hinojosa win?
46% chance
Texas Lt Governor winner?
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
85% chance
Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner (Polymarket)