Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
4
Ṁ775Ṁ2632027
95%
Fort Bend
91%
Tarrant
66%
Collin
50%
Denton
39%
Bell
30%
Bastrop
29%
Brazoria
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralcounty/general-election-county-winners/kxgeneralcounty-senatetx-26
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate general election in Denton County, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Some Background information. Last 2 presidential election results in these counties
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democratic candidate James Talarico win Tarrant County in the 2026 TX-SEN election?
92% chance
Who Will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election?
Tarrant County Judge winner?
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
71% chance
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
82% chance
Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Will James Talarico win Tarrant County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
63% chance
Will James Talarico win Starr County in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
86% chance
Will James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
65% chance
If James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?