If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
38
Ṁ100Ṁ2.2kNov 3
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Exactly what it sounds like.
N/A if Talarico loses the Dem nomination.
See this market for Crockett: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-jasmine-crockett-wins-the-texas
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
36% chance
Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
Who will win in the Texas Senate Race?
Will Jasmine Crockett endorse James Talarico for senate by eod March 31?
75% chance
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
63% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
35% chance
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
16% chance