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MANIFOLD
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
5
Ṁ375Ṁ134
Jan 3
22%
Texas
25%
Kansas
15%
South Carolina
8%
North Carolina
5%
Mississippi
4%
Alaska
2%
Iowa
2%
Ohio
4%
Louisiana
2%
Georgia
2%
Montana
2%
Florida
2%
Michigan
2%
New Hampshire
2%
Minnesota

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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