Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ192Dec 31
10%
D+ >= 4%
10%
D+ >=2% to <4%
14%
D+ >=0% to <2%
36%
R+ >0% to <= 2%
18%
R+ >2% to <= 4%
13%
R+ >4%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
When will Democrats next win a 3/5ths supermajority in the US Senate?
How will AI voting advice rates compare to the Senate tipping point margin in 2026?
What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?
What will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026?
4% chance
If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
88% chance