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MANIFOLD
Is Donald Trump the Antichrist?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ198
2029
45%
chance
12

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the results of a poll conducted on this platform. The market will close on Janurary 20th, and the final percentage of "Yes" votes vs. "No" votes will determine the outcome. If the percentage of "Yes" votes is greater than 50%, the market will resolve to "Yes." If the percentage of "No" votes is greater than or equal to 50%, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

The question of whether a contemporary political figure, such as Donald Trump, fits the biblical description of the "antichrist" is a subject of speculation among some religious groups and commentators. Historically, the term has been applied to various leaders throughout time. There is no objective or empirical metric to resolve this question; therefore, this market is designed to gauge community sentiment through a poll rather than a factual determination.

The poll below will be used as a reference to use resolve this market

  • Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added the poll referenced in the resolution criteria. The poll link is now available in the market description.

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@OnlyBoot Can we get a link to the poll that this market references?

@Quroe Is there a poll?

@OnlyBoot Not yet, but there can be.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the results of a poll conducted on this platform. The market will close on Janurary 20th, and the final percentage of "Yes" votes vs. "No" votes will determine the outcome. If the percentage of "Yes" votes is greater than 50%, the market will resolve to "Yes." If the percentage of "No" votes is greater than or equal to 50%, the market will resolve to "No."

@OnlyBoot I can set up a poll for this market if you'd like, but it probably makes more sense for it to be made by the Market Creator.

@ian @Gen Idea: If the AI description writer suggests the creation of a poll, perhaps the market creation UI prompts the user to make that poll after (or even before) the market is created and anted for.

@Quroe done

Related: /Quroe/will-trumps-2nd-presidential-term-l

(See the bottom of its description)