lol

Do reposts count?

@StepanBakhmarin they do not, but good question 🌷

Hear me out:

1. he's occasionally doing seemingly crazy or stupid shit to hurt the GOP in midterms as a 69D game of chicken. He wins, they back down and cooperate

2. so while it was mostly the evangelicals who he pissed off, and it gave from points to his opposition to make fun of him on the cheap (normally the opposite of what any leader would want), this comports with number one.

3. "can resolve yes to any time within the next 2+ years" is in politics, a long time. It also by definition means "it has 2+ years to resolve as (not) no."

4. there is already precedent, and doubling down in a lot of the things he does to keep people paying attention.

5. the longer manifold exists the more mana inflation there will be.

6. Considering all of this, this looks like a prediction market that will only rise in probability with time, therefore yielding free daily gains.

@DavidAttenborough

I find that trying to understand Trump is not good for my sanity. Which might be part of the 69D plan..

@Hakari my only question is who that guy was Trump is healing in the picture. Was it Epstein? Take a closer look:

@DavidAttenborough I feel like I'm reading old r/wallstreetbets. Thanks for making me smile 😊🦋

2. Ironically it's Catholics I'm seeing make the most noise about this, who are one of the only politically diverse religious groups in the US

6. One must also factor in general time decay for these markets. The closer we get to the deadline, the fewer opportunities Trump has to do this. Agreed though 2+ years is a long time in politics, and he need only ruminate about it once for this to happen lol

@GnosticGirl

my only question is who that guy was Trump is healing in the picture.

Alternatively... https://youtu.be/g6k55WQ5GAk?t=209&si=-IlCNSE5MlZYHTy0 (edit: fixed time stamp)

@GnosticGirl aww hell, I guess I'm obligated to post this now: 💎🙌

@DavidAttenborough my silly take is he is simultaneusly trying to keep the russian mob, DIA and the GOP onside cause any of those three could sink him.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen > my silly take is he is simultaneusly trying to keep the russian mob, DIA and the GOP onside cause any of those three could sink him.

Thats a nice boulder...I mean take, thats I nice take. I like that take.

@GnosticGirl Say, for the sake of argument, he posted a photo of him parting seas like Moses allegedly did. Would that count?

Would it depend on what he is depicted as wearing? Or would the action of parting seas settle the score in and of itself?

@Quroe a scene of Trump as Moshe parting the red sea (or other famous religious miracles -- recall the artwork clause) would indeed resolve YES.

Given the striking nature of a man parting the waters, it's hard to imagine a depiction that wouldn't qualify. 🤔

Maybe if it was, like, super grainy/abstract and you couldn't tell what was going on we'd say, "look, he's wearing the prophet's robes!" as part of a cumulative case. But in 99% of cases I think we'd all know "Trump sees himself as Moses here" entirely non-controversially.

Not to sound wishy-washy. Trump clearly performing biblical miracles is him deifying himself and resolves YES 🌸

@GnosticGirl These are some of the best market clarifications I've ever seen. Well done!

He did already this morning.

@DaniellqdC6 Do you mind linking the picture? You're sure it's not the one from yesterday at the bottom of my description?

@GnosticGirl yeah, I meant this one with Jesus in his back, putting his arm on Trumps shoulder. I thought it would be worth to let it count.😁

Can anybody create the right picture for him, so he will post it? At the moment it seems he needs to distract the folks with this method.

@DaniellqdC6 My faith tells me NO, don't do it, but my Mana bag says YES. Is this what Jesus meant when he said one cannot serve two masters? 😂

If it is one of y'all though, post the image here first. It'll make for a great news story if the image comes from Manifold / my little market 🪻💀

Greek gods like Ares or Zeus? Demigod like Heracles?

@SIMOROBO excellent question! 🌺

1. YES for depictions as their Gods or recognizable demigods

2. YES for emperor cults, provided he's being divinized in the image beyond secular measures

3. NO if it's just Trump in Greco-Roman society

Before 2029? Hell yeah, he just loves the attention

@TheWabiSabi the YES case is indeed probably within the next week 😂