Is Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th POTUS, a male homosexual?
This question will resolve YES with evidence that Donald Trump sought or enjoyed other men romantically or sexually. It will resolve NO if evidence comes out that his attraction was only to women. Without either, it will resolve to the market probability on his 100th birthday.
I will not bet on this market.
Update 2025-09-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If evidence shows Trump enjoyed both men and women (bisexual), the market will resolve to 40% (PARTIAL).
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Hoooly shit. Easter egg? @mods please let me know if I can keep this mana or if I have to give it back.
Edit: I can keep it because it's my half of a referral bonus. I'm honored the Spirit of Evan would sign up on my market.
@Chumchulum ultimately up to staff but i would assume you can keep it—kinda obvious but you can't accept donations from accounts skirting bans, but i don't think you have to give back a random sign-up bonus just because the account is banned. (unless it becomes a systematic thing)
@Ziddletwix I agree, this is "bank error on your favor", keep it.
Ideally the bonus would be for "user who signs up and doesn't get immediately banned" instead, but it isn't. Not your fault, you did nothing wrong, keep it.
That said, if you're coordinating to generate sign up bonuses via alt accounts, that's bad in many ways; don't do it.
@EvanDaniel Thank you the true Evan. Don't despair. Wherever I share my referral link, I'd prefer those acquaintances to keep their mana and stay on the site, because I need to compare their predictions to my own.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen We don't truly know if Trump enjoys his experiences with women. If we find out he enjoyed both, the market will resolve to 40%.