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MANIFOLD
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
27
Ṁ110Ṁ911
2029
97%
Reform UK
89%
SNP
73%
SDLP
51%
Plaid Cymru
51%
Conservatives
50%
UUP
49%
Greens
40%
Lib Dem
27%
Sinn Fein
17%
DUP
11%
Labour

Resolves to yes if the party gains more seats. Resolves to no if the party looses or has the same amount of seats.

Uses the number of seats “as elected” as benchmark and not any party switching that may happen thereafter. Seats lost in runoff elections do not count.

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UK Politics
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UK Conservative Party
UK General Election 2024
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If the 2029 election follows the pattern of the 2001 election, then the gains will be as follows: Liberal Democrats (most gains), Reform UK (second most gains), Greens (third most gains) with Labour losing the most seats.

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