If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
69
Ṁ100Ṁ3.7kDec 1
73%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"win the House" == when counting all voting representatives who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a majority
"win the Senate" == when counting all voting senators who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a full majority (51+)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
27% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
72% chance
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
41% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
95% chance
Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?
80% chance
Will Democrats win the House but lose the Senate?
30% chance
Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms?
50% chance
If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Will democrats win the senate and lose the house?
1% chance