How many people will ICE/CBP kill in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ250Ṁ857

Jan 25

10 people

expected

ALL

0.9%

2 - 3

28%

4 - 5

26%

6 - 8

11%

9 - 11

10%

12 - 14

15 - 17

18 - 20

Above 20

This refers to people killed "in the street" not in detention centers.

Here is the current count as of 1/26/26: 2

1/7/26: Renee Good

1/24/26: Alex Jeffrey Pretti

Immigration

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

1% chance

How many U.S. civilians will be killed by federal law enforcement agents in 2026?

655

Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?

18% chance

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

33% chance

Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?

62% chance

ICE spends at least $25.5 billion in 2025? (budget estimate: $30 billion)

6% chance

Will CBP refuse to process international arrivals at any major US airport in 2026?

34% chance

Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?

67% chance

What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?

Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

33% chance

Sort by:

sold Ṁ19 NO

Lorenzo Salgado Araujo & Joan Sebastián Guerrero bring the count to 4.

Does this include people in holding facilities?

@LarsOsborne I am looking for an authoritative source. Your thoughts?

@MichaeldelaMaza my question is about intent.

I could interpret this as only applying to people intentionally killed by ice in the street or in pursuit. I could interpret this as the above and those intentionally killed in custody, or I could interpret it as all people who died while in custody or while interacting with ICE.