Will GPT-5 exceed my expectations?
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42%
Yes
62%
No
Resolves YES if GPT-5 is better than I thought it would be, and resolves NO if it is worse. I will compare the reality to what I thought right before release. I may give myself up to 24 hours after release to make the call, although this can resolve earlier.
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@khang2009 I will resolve YES or NO based on whether it is even slightly better or worse than I thought it should be, and will keep thinking until I decide on one option
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