11
117
250
2026
5%
chance

OpenAI has stated that they are not currently training GPT-5, however it seems likely that they will at some point in the future. AI models are predicted to possibly wipe out humanity. This question asks, if OpenAI releases a model named GPT-5, will it wipe out humanity? It resolves positive if humanity is destroyed by GPT-5 (directly or indirectly) within 1 year of its release, and negative otherwise.

Note: I will extend the closing date if GPT-5 has not been released by Dec 31,2024

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I will tell GPT-5 to destroy the world after 366 days in order to manipulate this market. You cannot stop me. Muahahaha, etc.