Will we burn all this firewood before AGI?
16
100Ṁ696
2035
71%
chance

My family has a cottage that we go up to somewhat infrequently but much more frequently in the last two years. This market will resolve yes if these 3 face cords of wood we just bought are all burned before we get AGI.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.

  • Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the definition for AGI will be determined by the resolution of the following market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

This market either resolves when we burn all the wood (before AGI) or when we get AGI.

  • Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the market only pertains to the initial 3 face cords of wood. If the wood supply is replenished, the new wood will be kept separate and will not affect this market's resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy