Will Peter Singer ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
22
89
Ṁ1.4KṀ430
2046
3%
chance
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ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Singer
Resolves YES if he wins the Nobel Peace Prize, resolves NO if he dies and doesn't win the Nobel Peace Prize within a year (in case he gets it posthumously that year).
Close date if for his 100th birthday, but I will update it if he (and I) are still alive and AGI hasn't closed manifold.markets
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@BTE I think that if you are a finalist but then die between when you are selected and when the prize is awarded, they give posthumously: https://www.discovermagazine.com/health/first-posthumous-nobel-awarded
that's why I added the extra year, just in case
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